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New Cuba

Not legal, tax or investment advice, and not authorization for any transaction. U.S. sanctions (31 CFR Part 515) prohibit investment or equity in any Cuban business; nothing here is a determination that a transaction is lawful. Structure anything Cuba-facing only with qualified OFAC sanctions counsel and screen every party with QvaPay Sentinel.

Primary sources: OFAC Cuba Sanctions · 31 CFR Part 515 (CACR) · OFAC Cuba FAQs · Cuba Restricted List

The full economy

Sectors & the buildout gap

What exists, what's broken, and what needs to be built — across every sector of Cuba's economy. The private-sector lane is the only one supportable today (via QvaPay); the rest is the atlas of the opportunity when a new, open Cuba rises from the ashes of communism.

10,985,974
Population
$137 billion (in 2016 US dollars)
GDP (2017 est. (PPP and official exchange rate))
73.4%
Services share
22.7%
Industry share

Macro: CIA World Factbook (see Data & methodology).

Ports

15 assets5 need buildout

Deepwater terminals, the Mariel gateway, cruise & bulk.

Rail

7 assets7 need buildout

The only railroad in the Caribbean — near-total recapitalization needed.

Roads, bridges & tunnels

8 assets

Highways, bridges, tunnels and causeways — the unfinished national expressway included.

Energy & power plants

18 assets5 need buildout

A grid in crisis — thermoelectric plants, the solar buildout, oil, gas & wind.

Water

3 assets

Leaking aqueducts, wastewater and tourism-zone desalination.

Mining

11 assets5 need buildout

Nickel & cobalt — Cuba holds ~6% of world Ni reserves (USGS).

Agriculture

4 assets2 need buildout

Tobacco, sugar, coffee — terroir the world pays a premium for.

Tourism

1 asset

Heritage cities and the dollarized cays; private hospitality.

Telecom

1 asset

Confiscated phone system; a thin, state-controlled network.

Manufacturing

8 assets4 need buildout

Steel, cement, textiles, breweries — brownfield revivals.

Retail

1 asset

Confiscated department stores; GAESA-controlled chains today.

Rum

3 assets

Bacardí's birthplace and the Havana Club trademark war.

Cigars

4 assets1 need buildout

Confiscated marques: Partagás, Montecristo, Romeo y Julieta.

Industrial zone

1 asset

The Mariel special development zone (GAESA land).

Airports

12 assets4 need buildout

Cuba's 12 existing airports — to modernize: terminals, passenger automation, baggage/ground robotics and air-traffic management.

Fun facts

Cuba made its own COVID vaccines

Cuba developed Abdala and Soberana 02 — the first Latin American country to create and deploy a homegrown coronavirus vaccine.

A cobalt superpower

Cuba holds some of the world's largest cobalt reserves — roughly 4th globally and about 7% of the world total — plus major nickel deposits around Moa.

Common questions

Where are the opportunities in Cuba, by sector?+

Across ports, energy and the power grid, water, rail, mining (nickel and cobalt), agriculture, biotech, tourism, and the independent private sector. The atlas maps each asset with its controlling entity and the buildout gap a rebuilt Cuba would need to close.

Who controls Cuba's economy?+

Predominantly the state and the military conglomerate GAESA, which is estimated to control 40–80% of the economy. The independent private sector — MIPYMEs — is the independent slice a U.S. person may be able to support when the facts fit a scoped CACR authorization.